The Wall Around ISIS

Turkey is almost finished building its wall to keep out Syrian refugees. That seals off the ISIS Caliphate’s Northern border. See this map to refresh your memory on the geography. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia is building a “bad-ass” wall along its entire border with Iraq. Jordan has plans for its own wall, for the same reason. And we can…

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I Score the First Debate

Trump and Clinton debated each other for the first time last night. Here’s how I score the night. Clinton won on points. She had more command of the details and the cleaner answers. Trump did a lot of interrupting and he was defensive. If this were a college debate competition,…

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Why I Switched My Endorsement from Clinton to Trump

As most of you know, I had been endorsing Hillary Clinton for president, for my personal safety, because I live in California. It isn’t safe to be a Trump supporter where I live. And it’s bad for business too. But recently I switched my endorsement to Trump, and I owe…

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Blowing Your Mind — as Promised

About a year ago I told you that Donald Trump would change far more than politics. I predicted that he would change your understanding of the human condition and your role in reality. Back then, I couldn’t explain what I meant. You didn’t have the mental framework to hold this…

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How to Know an Election is Over

In the 2D world in which most people live, Clinton and Trump are polling about evenly, and either one could win. The 2D world is all about facts and policies and common sense. In other words – all the stuff we think we care about but really don’t.  In the 3D world…

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Assessing the Risk of Trump

For over a year now I have been blogging about Trump’s talent for persuasion, and that gives people the impression that I prefer him as my president. That is not the case. I’ll tell you why at the end of this post. The best choice for president depends on the…

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When Reality Turned Inside Out

Do you remember way—-way—-way—back in July, when the public thought Trump was the candidate they couldn’t trust with the nuclear arsenal? That was before we realized he could moderate his personality on command, as he is doing now. We’re about to enter our fifth consecutive week of Trump doing more outreach…

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Deplorable Pneumonia

When Hillary Clinton called half of Trump supporters a “basket of deplorables,” I said it would not move the polls more than 1%. My thinking is that we have three types of voters: 1. The Deplorables – who already made up their minds for Trump. 2. Clinton supporters – who already made up their minds…

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The Race for President is (Probably) Over

If you are following breaking news, Hillary Clinton abruptly left the 9-11 memorial today because she was reportedly “overheated.” Her campaign says she is fine now. You probably wonder if the “overheated” explanation is true – and a non-issue as reported – or an indication of a larger medical condition….

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Checking My Predictions About Clinton’s Health

In a blog post I wrote on December 27th, 2015, I said this… Bonus Thought 1: One of the skills a hypnotist has to master is reading people’s inner thoughts based on their body language. That’s a common skill for people in the business world too, but hypnotists go deeper than looking at crossed…

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Check Out my Sulley Prediction from 2009

One of the the most important things I learned while getting my degree in economics is that economies are driven by psychology. If people expect tomorrow to be better than today, they make investments. If they think things are in decline, they wait it out, and that lack of investment…

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Measuring the Shy Trump Supporters

It’s hard to count people who are intentionally hiding. But just for fun, let’s see if we can deduce how many so-called Shy Trump Supporters are out there. For starters, we can say with certainty that they exist. I have a better ear for that than most of you because of my…

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Godzilla!!!

Read this short article then read this new book by Robert Cialdini (the Godzilla of persuasion). Seriously. Change your plans. Read this book. Thank me later.

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Why Trump Doesn’t Scare Me

Donald Trump scares a lot of people. They worry that he is a crazy racist who can’t be trusted with the nuclear codes. They worry that he will needlessly insult foreign leaders. They worry that he isn’t sufficiently knowledgeable to do the job. And so on. But unlike the frightened…

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See Me on The Rubin Report

Many of my readers asked me to appear on the Rubin Report. And so I have. You can see Part 1 (my journey to Dilbert) here. Part 2 (the Trump bits) will follow soon.

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