The Trump Master Persuader Index and Reading List

Readers of this blog have been asking me to compile my Trump posts in a convenient index so you can direct others to it. And so I have. I’ll try to keep this updated as I go. The fun of it is seeing how early I predicted Trump’s rise (8/13/15)….

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Scalia and the Pillow

As you know, Supreme Court justice Antonin Scalia recently died. Here’s what we know. 1. He seemed healthy(ish) that day. 2. He was discovered with a pillow over his head. 3. No autopsy was done. He was declared dead by telephone. 4. There is no chance of President Obama getting the…

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Policies and Name Recognition (Trump Persuasion Series)

The Master Persuader filter, of which I blog, says Trump’s success is based on his persuasion skills. But the more common 2D narrative is that Trump has name recognition and a winning policy with immigration, at least for the Republican base. So, is Trump’s success in the campaign because of his…

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Why Does Trump Terrify People?

It isn’t unusual for members of the public to hate politicians. For example, lots of people hate President Obama. Some of that hatred is because of his policies, some is because of racism, and I assume there are a few other reasons. But I have never seen anyone who was…

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My New Hampshire Prediction Scorecard

On Monday I predicted that Rubio would outperform expectations in New Hampshire because the voting in primaries is – in my view – probably rigged. Instead, Rubio dropped like a rock after his Saturday debate in which Christie annihilated him. So I was totally wrong about Rubio getting a suspicious bump up in the…

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The Thinking Filters

As you watch pundits discuss the presidential elections, you might be wondering who is right, who is wrong, who is wise, and who is dumb. To that end, I put together the the following “high ground” chart.  As I have said in prior posts, I don’t believe our brains evolved…

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The Movie Persuasion Filter

If you were going to cast a Batman movie, and you had to pick from the Republican candidates, how easily could you fill out the cast? This will tell you what you really think of these folks. I think it would come out like this: Batman: Trump (battling lobbyists, China, ISIS,…

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New Hampshire Election Fraud Prediction

The New Hampshire primary tomorrow should be interesting.  As I often say, wherever you have large stakes, an opportunity for wrong-doing, and a small risk of getting caught, wrong-doing happens. That’s a universal law of human awfulness. When humans CAN cheat, they do. Or at least enough of them do.  That situation…

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The GOP Debate Scorecard (Master Persuader Series)

If your firewall is being uncooperative, see the image on Twitter here. If you have a life, and you missed the GOP debate on Saturday night, let me give you the highlights. Trump: Trump acted controlled and more presidential to counter the idea that he’s a loose cannon. That strategy looked effective…

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Friday Trump Joke

Trump offered to build a ballroom for the White House. I assume he will use an adjoining room for the rest of his body.  That is all. Have a good weekend.

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Scoring My Iowa Fraud Call

I got a lot of scorn this week for declaring Iowa a rigged election based on the vote totals alone, and no real evidence. Strangers on the Internet called me pathetic, desperate, and a few other words.  There is no evidence that the vote count was rigged, although opportunity and human nature…

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Spooky Alert! Spooky Alert!

I mentioned recently that my 2004 book, The Religion War, featured a leader named Cruz rising in the United States and bringing a war of annihilation to the Caliphate. Now we have candidate Ted Cruz doing well in the polls and stating his intentions to annihilate ISIS. Obviously that is a coincidence, but…

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The Pledge of Allegiance

Imagine that you go to a football game in the United States. The announcer asks the crowd to rise for the Pledge of Allegiance. Everyone stands and faces the flag. Except you. In this thought experiment you’re a citizen of the United States and a patriot. You were born in…

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New Hampshire Prediction (Master Persuader Series)

In my experience on this planet, anything that is both important and corruptible (without detection) is already corrupted. Athletes are using performance-enhancing drugs, politicians are using dirty tricks, hedge funds are using insider information, and so on. It’s a universal truth. I doubt you could find anything in our world…

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News Flash: Cartoonist Gets One Wrong!

My predictions about the Iowa caucus were wrong! I am fallible after all. Time to eat some crow, as we say in America. Let me at it! Nom-nom-nom. Gulp. Mmmmm… That’s good crow. This is one of those situations in which having no sense of embarrassment comes in handy. I look forward…

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