About Leadership

An anxious world watches, and waits, while the American public does its best to select a new leader. Perhaps it would help the process if we agree on what a good leader is. Much has been said about Donald Trump’s bully ways. I think that’s a fair characterization of his…

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Twitter and Periscope Shadowban Update

I was just on Periscope, the streaming app owned by Twitter. The running count for number of live followers on my session dropped from over a thousand to zero for no obvious reason, even though plenty of people were still on and interacting with me. At a count of over…

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The Era of Women

If the latest groping/kissing allegations against Trump hold up – and I assume they will, based on quantity if not credibility – it won’t matter what Wikileaks says about Clinton. She will win easily. If Clinton wins, you’ll wonder if this invalidates the Master Persuader Hypothesis. The short answer is no, because…

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Why Does This Happen on My Vacation? (The Trump Tapes)

By now you know about the Access Hollywood recording in which Donald Trump said bad things eleven years ago. Many of my readers asked me to weigh in. One of the requests came from anti-Trump GOP elite person Erick Erickson. (Middle name Erick, I assume.) This was his polite request and my…

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The Week I Became a Target

This weekend I got “shadowbanned” on Twitter. It lasted until my followers noticed and protested. Shadowbanning prevents my followers from seeing my tweets and replies, but in a way that is not obvious until you do some digging. Why did I get shadowbanned? Beats me. But it was probably because I…

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I Score the First Debate

Trump and Clinton debated each other for the first time last night. Here’s how I score the night. Clinton won on points. She had more command of the details and the cleaner answers. Trump did a lot of interrupting and he was defensive. If this were a college debate competition,…

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Why I Switched My Endorsement from Clinton to Trump

As most of you know, I had been endorsing Hillary Clinton for president, for my personal safety, because I live in California. It isn’t safe to be a Trump supporter where I live. And it’s bad for business too. But recently I switched my endorsement to Trump, and I owe…

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Blowing Your Mind — as Promised

About a year ago I told you that Donald Trump would change far more than politics. I predicted that he would change your understanding of the human condition and your role in reality. Back then, I couldn’t explain what I meant. You didn’t have the mental framework to hold this…

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How to Know an Election is Over

In the 2D world in which most people live, Clinton and Trump are polling about evenly, and either one could win. The 2D world is all about facts and policies and common sense. In other words – all the stuff we think we care about but really don’t.  In the 3D world…

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When Reality Turned Inside Out

Do you remember way—-way—-way—back in July, when the public thought Trump was the candidate they couldn’t trust with the nuclear arsenal? That was before we realized he could moderate his personality on command, as he is doing now. We’re about to enter our fifth consecutive week of Trump doing more outreach…

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Check Out my Sulley Prediction from 2009

One of the the most important things I learned while getting my degree in economics is that economies are driven by psychology. If people expect tomorrow to be better than today, they make investments. If they think things are in decline, they wait it out, and that lack of investment…

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Measuring the Shy Trump Supporters

It’s hard to count people who are intentionally hiding. But just for fun, let’s see if we can deduce how many so-called Shy Trump Supporters are out there. For starters, we can say with certainty that they exist. I have a better ear for that than most of you because of my…

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Godzilla!!!

Read this short article then read this new book by Robert Cialdini (the Godzilla of persuasion). Seriously. Change your plans. Read this book. Thank me later.

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Why Trump Doesn’t Scare Me

Donald Trump scares a lot of people. They worry that he is a crazy racist who can’t be trusted with the nuclear codes. They worry that he will needlessly insult foreign leaders. They worry that he isn’t sufficiently knowledgeable to do the job. And so on. But unlike the frightened…

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Clinton and Trump Switch Brands

Correct me if I’m wrong, but six months ago Donald Trump was nothing but a talking suit full of money and insults. Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, was an experienced politician full of policy substance. Then they switched places. The media tells us that today we will hear Clinton…

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