How to Legally Vote More Than Once

If you find it annoying that you only have one legal vote, here’s how you can get a few more. It’s called persuasion. You can multiply the power of your opinion by convincing people on the other side to stay home on election day. Every vote you suppress on the…

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Twitter and Periscope Shadowban Update

I was just on Periscope, the streaming app owned by Twitter. The running count for number of live followers on my session dropped from over a thousand to zero for no obvious reason, even though plenty of people were still on and interacting with me. At a count of over…

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I Score the Third Debate

I watched the third and most boring presidential debate last night. Here are my thoughts. Clinton’s goal was to stay vertical for ninety minutes and sound more well-informed than Trump while framing him as an unstable monster. She accomplished all of that and won the debate, in my opinion. But…

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I Wake You Up for the Presidential Debate

Here’s a little thought experiment for you: If a friend said he could see a pink elephant in the room, standing right in front of you, but you don’t see it, which one of you is hallucinating? Answer: The one who sees the pink elephant is hallucinating. Let’s try another one….

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Is Twitter Shadowbanning me?

According to many of my Twitter followers, Twitter is “shadowbanning” me. If true, that means someone at Twitter has decided to suppress my free speech on the site, presumably because I have said good things about Trump’s talents for persuasion. My tweets do not align with Twitter’s political preferences as I…

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Assume Half of What You Hear About the Candidates is True

This is a fun election. Trump and Clinton have provided us with one juicy rumor/scandal after another. But how do you know which rumors are true? I have taught you in this blog that even smart people are routinely fooled by confirmation bias. You think you can use your “common sense” to…

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The Era of Women

If the latest groping/kissing allegations against Trump hold up – and I assume they will, based on quantity if not credibility – it won’t matter what Wikileaks says about Clinton. She will win easily. If Clinton wins, you’ll wonder if this invalidates the Master Persuader Hypothesis. The short answer is no, because…

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Scandal Poker – Trump Vs. Clinton

This is the most scandalicious election of all time. I’m losing track of all the allegations and rumors. As a public service, I will use the persuasion filter plus some pattern recognition to give you my subjective impression of the odds of each rumor being true. I will do this in the…

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Quick Debate Reactions from Switzerland

I just watched the debate on replay. Trump won bigly. This one wasn’t close. And keep in mind that I called Clinton the winner of the first debate, and I now endorse Gary Johnson, primarily to avoid being called an alleged enabler of alleged sex abusers and their alleged enablers….

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Why I Endorse Gary Johnson (this week)

I don’t know how to write this post without unintentionally disrespecting the real victims of abuse in any form. I apologize in advance if it comes off that way. But it’s part of the national conversation now, and unavoidable. The best I can do is focus on how voters perceive…

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Why I Switched My Endorsement from Clinton to Trump

As most of you know, I had been endorsing Hillary Clinton for president, for my personal safety, because I live in California. It isn’t safe to be a Trump supporter where I live. And it’s bad for business too. But recently I switched my endorsement to Trump, and I owe…

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Blowing Your Mind — as Promised

About a year ago I told you that Donald Trump would change far more than politics. I predicted that he would change your understanding of the human condition and your role in reality. Back then, I couldn’t explain what I meant. You didn’t have the mental framework to hold this…

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How to Know an Election is Over

In the 2D world in which most people live, Clinton and Trump are polling about evenly, and either one could win. The 2D world is all about facts and policies and common sense. In other words – all the stuff we think we care about but really don’t.  In the 3D world…

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Assessing the Risk of Trump

For over a year now I have been blogging about Trump’s talent for persuasion, and that gives people the impression that I prefer him as my president. That is not the case. I’ll tell you why at the end of this post. The best choice for president depends on the…

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Deplorable Pneumonia

When Hillary Clinton called half of Trump supporters a “basket of deplorables,” I said it would not move the polls more than 1%. My thinking is that we have three types of voters: 1. The Deplorables – who already made up their minds for Trump. 2. Clinton supporters – who already made up their minds…

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