A-B Testing

Most of you are familiar with A-B testing for websites. You randomly display one of two website designs and track which design gets the most clicks. People do A-B testing because it works. But where else does it work? When I asked for opinions about why anyone would NOT buy…

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Proving Time Travel Exists

A growing number of futurists are speculating that someday human minds will be transferred to computers. Let’s assume that will happen, whether in a hundred years or a thousand. Futurists say that all we’ll need is fairly normal advances in technology to get there. At the moment, the best minds…

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Open Interview with Scott

Next week (Dec 16– 20) I’ll be doing interviews on Skype and phone about my new book (How to Fail almost Every time and Still Win Big…). But I’m adding a twist to the process, just to see what happens. I’ll do the interviews in the priority order of biggest…

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I Hope My Father Dies Soon

I hope my father dies soon. And while I’m at it, I might want you to die a painful death too. I’m entirely serious on both counts. My father, age 86, is on the final approach to the long dirt nap (to use his own phrase). His mind is 98%…

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What’s the Difference Between a Sexist and a Regular Asshole?

Warning: This blog is written for a rational audience that likes to have fun wrestling with unique or controversial points of view. It is written in a style that can easily be confused as advocacy for one sort of unpleasantness or another. It is not intended to change anyone’s beliefs or…

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Goals vs. Systems

In my new book, How to Fail at Almost Everything and Still Win Big: Kind of the Story of My Life, I talk about using systems instead of goals. For example, losing ten pounds is a goal (that most people can’t maintain), whereas learning to eat right is a system that…

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Obamacare – Side Bets

I don’t know anything about Obamacare except that it’s so complicated there’s no point in an ordinary person trying to understand how it will all turn out. And evidently the people who try to understand Obamacare come to different conclusions about whether it will destroy civilization or simply help some…

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The Karma Hypothesis

About a year ago I blogged that I was trying to “sell” an idea to a venture capitalist. The experiment involved asking publicly (here) if a venture company would give me 5% equity in a start-up for doing nothing but describing a good idea. For qualified investors, I would describe…

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Super-Big Problems

I’m starting to wonder if the era of super-big problems is over. Wars are trending smaller. Economic meltdowns aren’t quite so deep or lasting. Israel has become so skilled at managing its local threats that a peace treaty would feel like a step backwards. The Gates Foundation is chipping away…

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Chromecast Review

I’m an early adapter of Google’s new $35 Chromecast product. I ordered it as soon as I read about it, but not because I wanted the product. I wanted to test my powers of pattern recognition. I do that sometimes. If you live long enough, you can predict which sorts of things…

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The Internet Fingerprint

My hypothesis is that science will someday be able to identify sociopaths and terrorists by their patterns of Facebook and Internet use. I’ll bet normal people interact with Facebook in ways that sociopaths and terrorists couldn’t duplicate. Anyone can post fake photos and acquire lots of friends who are actually…

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Fact Checking: Adams Law of Slow-Moving Disasters

I was watching Real Time with Bill Maher the other day. He had a professor on the show who said climate change can be fixed by making well-understood adjustments to how farmers raise cattle plus some other fairly ordinary changes. Apparently this is all explained in a documentary called Carbon Nation….

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The Management-free Organization

Recently I heard that Valve, a highly successful video game company, has four hundred employees and no management structure. According to all reports, they make that model work. I spent a lot of time trying to imagine working for a company with no management. How do they resolve conflicts, set priorities,…

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Follow your Passion?

You often hear advice from successful people that you should “Follow your passion.”  That sounds about right. Passion will presumably give you high energy, high resistance to rejection and high determination. Passionate people are more persuasive, too. Those are all good things, right? Here’s the counterargument:  When I was a…

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I Want My Cheese

My city recently passed a law making it illegal for stores to provide plastic bags for free at the checkout stand. Now we have the option of paying ten cents for a paper bag or bringing our own. If one looks at this new law in isolation, it seems reasonable…

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