The Turn to “Effective, but we don’t like it.”

Prior to President Trump’s inauguration, I predicted a coming story arc in three acts. Act one involved mass protests in the streets because Hillary Clinton’s campaign had successfully branded Trump as the next Hitler. Sure enough, we saw mass protests by anti-Trumpers who legitimately and honestly believed the country had…

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People Keep Telling Me to Stop Blogging about North Korea

My critics have been extra vocal lately in saying I should stop writing about North Korea because I have no expertise in that area. So I decided to talk about North Korea some more. Today I’ll tell you how to end North Korea’s nuclear ambitions at a reasonable cost. The…

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I’m Not Your Pope (But Thanks for Asking)

A funny thing happened after my conversation with Sam Harris [no longer available] on the topic of President Trump. An avalanche of anti-Trumpers descended on my Twitter account and insisted I become their moral leader – sort of like their Pope. I have not accepted the job, but I can see the…

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International Relations in a Time of Nukes and Plenty

In olden days, if a neighboring kingdom was prosperous and capable, it was a risk to your security. A rich neighbor can assemble powerful armies to capture your resources and enslave your people. In those primitive times, any powerful empire was a real enemy, and you had to treat them…

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Russia Hacked our Election! (So what?)

I see a consensus forming that Russia attempted to influence our election with fake news and other social media shenanigans.  But why? If you start with the assumption that Russia is an enemy of the United States, you probably assume they do bad things to us simply to weaken our…

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Time to End Presidential Press Briefings?

Personally, I enjoy watching Sean Spicer spar with the press. It’s good entertainment. But press briefings don’t make sense in 2017. And they certainly don’t make sense for a Trump presidency. I’ll tell you why. The role of press briefings is to create two complementary illusions. The first illusion is…

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How a Systems-Thinking President Can Settle the Climate Science Debate

This idea in today’s Wall Street Journal [link available, alternative archive] talks about creating a “Red Team” to dig into the climate science debate and come up with a conclusion for the public. I call that a good system. Systems are better than goals. A goal, in this case, might be to “Convince the…

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The North Korea Reframe

Prior U.S. presidents framed the North Korean nuclear program as a problem between the United States and North Korea, with China as an unhelpful third party with its own interests. That framing was weak and useless. North Korea did whatever it wanted to do. President Trump recently changed the frame….

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Trusting Your Government in a Time of War

President Trump’s critics and supporters agree on one thing: Our new president has a history of “stretching” the truth whenever there is some advantage in doing so, and sometimes even when there is not. You might say he is famous for playing loose with the facts. We all expect a…

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The Syrian Gas Attack Persuasion

According to the mainstream media – that has been wrong about almost everything for a solid 18 months in a row – the Syrian government allegedly bombed its own people with a nerve agent [link unavailable].  The reason the Assad government would bomb its own people with a nerve agent right…

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I Declare Mobile Phone Carriers to Be Enemies of the State

Here’s the basic problem. Kids as young as eleven have smartphones. That situation won’t change.  A kid with a smartphone has access to any illegal drug in the world, as well as all the peer pressure in the world. Pills are small, cheap, odorless, widely available, and nearly impossible for…

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