Risk Management – (Trump Persuasion Series)

I’ve been out of the loop for a few days, working on a start-up. (More on that in the coming weeks.) So I haven’t been following the news. Let’s check in on Donald Trump and see if he’s done anything newsworthy lately. Checking… Uh-oh. Okay, you might want to know…

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What the Heck is Fascism?

Trump’s critics like to label him a fascist. I didn’t know what that word meant, so I made the mistake of looking it up. It turns out that no one agrees what the word means. So if you use the word, you’re literally acting like an idiot, because the word has…

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My Prediction about My Predictions (Trump Persuasion Series)

Over at 2016 Presidential Campaign Predictions they are tracking pundit predictions for the presidential race, including mine [no longer available]. But they have my Trump prediction dated in November. The first time I predicted he would win it all was August. I revised the prediction to “landslide” in October. In the unlikely event that my August…

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Trump’s Favorability – (part of my Trump Persuasion series)

Business Insider reports that Trump’s favorability rating among Republican voters was 23% before he announced his candidacy. In July it had climbed to 59%. Today it is 69%. That means it tripled this year. As the article notes, this is surprising because Trump has been a known quantity for decades, and people generally…

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How Trump Can Solve Immigration

Donald Trump is in hot water lately for treating a writer with a joint disease the same way he treats everyone else. Most people, including me, felt Trump’s behavior was appalling. If Trump shakes off that controversy and goes on to win the presidency, he has some big campaign promises…

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Trump Trouble Report

According to the press, Donald Trump had a bad week. If the game we are playing is two-dimensional politics, they are 100% right. But what if the game is three-dimensional politics? The third dimension is emotion and persuasion, not reason. Let’s see how Trump did in the third dimension. Here…

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Trump’s Current Odds

Drip…drip…drip… Nate Silver’s current opinion of Donald Trump’s odds, from Business Insider today: — — The way I characterize the situation is that Trump brought a flamethrower to a stick fight. What’s the track record for sticks beating flamethrowers? Hard to say, but a stick won all the other stick fights….

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Cognitive Dissonance Update 1

In a prior post, and as part of my Master Persuader Series (about Trump), I predicted that Trump’s success would trigger cognitive dissonance the likes of which you have rarely seen. That is a tell for mass persuasion. I give you two examples from today. The Huffington Post tells us Donald Trump’s rise is…

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Election Notes (Trump and Stuff)

In no particular order. Trump the Incumbent When Trump hosted Saturday Night Live, his opening skit involved a future fantasy with Trump as president doing great things. As regular readers of this blog noted that night, he made you think past the sale. I assume Trump was involved in approving…

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The Upside of Ben Carson 

I recently blogged that a Trump presidency would probably boost confidence in the economy and pay a big dividend in GDP over time. Economies move with psychology, and Trump is the best at business-related psychology in all its forms. But what about Ben Carson, you ask? Does he bring an economic upside…

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Why Donald Trump will Ruin the World

I promised myself that I wasn’t going to write about Donald Trump today. Then I saw this video clip in which a bearded fellow claims to know Trump’s morning routine. According to the bearded guy, an assistant brings a stack of Trump-related newspaper clips to Trump every morning. Trump glances at them,…

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Trump’s Selfish Motives (Please explain them to me)

One of the biggest complaints I hear about Donald Trump is that he wants to become president for personal reasons. Apparently it has something to do with a combination of his narcissism, his ego, and his desire to make money.  I can’t think of three worse qualities for a president…

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Economics and Expectations (with a Trump point)

When I was studying economics in college, the most surprising thing I learned is that economics is what happens when you combine psychology with resources. I had assumed economics was more of a math/formula sort of discipline. There is plenty of that too, but the core of economics is human…

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Trump’s Town Hall Performance – Give Him a Grade

I just watched a video of Matt Lauer interviewing Donald Trump in front of a live audience in New Hampshire. The audience had some questions too. If you have been enjoying my Master Persuader series about Trump, you … have … to … see … this. I remind you that I don’t know…

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How a Hypnotist Would Solve ISIS

You can’t bomb an idea to death. So how do you ever defeat the idea that is ISIS? To kill an idea, you need a hypnotist, or someone skilled in the art of persuasion. I’ll describe one way to do it. I do not expect any of the candidates to…

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